BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Jacksonville St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 48 Conference: Western Athletic Conference Record: (3-3) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =   68.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2021 Neutral L    54.67   0  31   1A  59 (  8-  4) Alabama-Birmingham    -14.13    -16.87                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    W    91.37  20  17   1A  62 (  5-  7) Florida St             22.57    -19.57                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    W    64.44  27  24   1B  65 (  3-  8) North Alabama          -4.36      7.36                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    L    68.63  31  34   1B  32 ( 10-  2) Tennessee-Martin       -0.17     -2.83                      
  5 10/02/2021 Away    L    56.60   6  31   1B  22 ( 11-  1) Kennesaw St           -12.21    -12.79                      
  6 10/09/2021 Home    W *  81.76  28  24   1B  16 (  8-  4) Stephen F. Austin      12.96     -8.96                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    L *  58.14   7  42   1B   4 ( 10-  0) Sam Houston St        -10.66    -24.34                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    L *  47.76  14  38   1B  30 (  5-  6) Central Arkansas      -21.04     -2.96                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    W *  82.79  40  25   1B  46 (  5-  6) Abilene Christian      13.99      1.01                      
 10 11/13/2021 Away    W *  83.52  38   7   1B 120 (  2-  9) Lamar                  14.72     16.28                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L *  68.62  31  39   1B  31 (  7-  4) Eastern Kentucky       -0.18     -7.82                      
      Averages              68.94  22.0 28.4

Best game:   91.37 = 3 point win over Florida St
Worst game:  47.76 = 24 point loss to Central Arkansas
Team stdev:  14.19