BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Jacksonville St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 48 Conference: Western Athletic Conference Record: (3-3) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength = 68.94
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2021 Neutral L 54.67 0 31 1A 59 ( 8- 4) Alabama-Birmingham -14.13 -16.87
2 09/11/2021 Away W 91.37 20 17 1A 62 ( 5- 7) Florida St 22.57 -19.57
3 09/18/2021 Home W 64.44 27 24 1B 65 ( 3- 8) North Alabama -4.36 7.36
4 09/25/2021 Home L 68.63 31 34 1B 32 ( 10- 2) Tennessee-Martin -0.17 -2.83
5 10/02/2021 Away L 56.60 6 31 1B 22 ( 11- 1) Kennesaw St -12.21 -12.79
6 10/09/2021 Home W * 81.76 28 24 1B 16 ( 8- 4) Stephen F. Austin 12.96 -8.96
7 10/23/2021 Away L * 58.14 7 42 1B 4 ( 10- 0) Sam Houston St -10.66 -24.34
8 10/30/2021 Home L * 47.76 14 38 1B 30 ( 5- 6) Central Arkansas -21.04 -2.96
9 11/06/2021 Home W * 82.79 40 25 1B 46 ( 5- 6) Abilene Christian 13.99 1.01
10 11/13/2021 Away W * 83.52 38 7 1B 120 ( 2- 9) Lamar 14.72 16.28
11 11/20/2021 Away L * 68.62 31 39 1B 31 ( 7- 4) Eastern Kentucky -0.18 -7.82
Averages 68.94 22.0 28.4
Best game: 91.37 = 3 point win over Florida St
Worst game: 47.76 = 24 point loss to Central Arkansas
Team stdev: 14.19